What if Real Change—for a Better World—Came from the Pandemic? | BU Today

The COVID-19 pandemic made for a horrific year domestically, and globally. The United States just surpassed half a million deaths. In the first half of 2020, we had a one-year drop in life expectancy overall compared to 2019. The economic consequences of efforts to mitigate the pandemic continue to have their own health consequences and will for years to come.

Can such a year ever be redeemable? In many ways, the answer is: no. Nothing makes up for the hardships, illness, and loss of life that came about because of this pandemic.

But what if we learned from the moment? What if, as a way of respecting those whose opportunities were curtailed by COVID-19, whose lives were lost, we asked ourselves: how do we use the moment to create a better, healthier world?

Public health and the temptations of power | The Healthiest Goldfish

My kids and I have loved the musical Hamilton since its music was first released a few songs at a time. At one point, it seemed that my daughter had the entire music book memorized. One of the most memorable parts of the musical is the song “One Last Time.” In the song, President George Washington announces his decision not to run for a third term, over the objections of Alexander Hamilton, his Treasury Secretary. The song’s catchiness is a musical echo of just how notable it was when the real Washington made the decision to leave office. By that point in his career, he was seen by almost everyone in the young United States as by far the preeminent figure of the age, and could have kept serving, could even have made himself king. The fact that he did not, that he willingly relinquished power after two terms in office, was a decision both striking and celebrated. He has been compared to Cincinnatus, the Roman statesman who, after assuming the role of dictator to manage a military crisis, gave up power and returned to his farm once victory had been won.

Washington’s choice to give up power ranks high among his achievements not just because of what it said about his character, but because of the legitimacy it conferred on American institutions. Had he stayed, the system would have become all about him, and while he may have continued to do good in office, it would have come at the expense of the very institutions he spent his life helping to build. By leaving, and assuring a peaceful transition of power, he helped assure these institutions would remain strong and enjoy the collective buy-in of the people; a necessary condition for the functioning of a healthy republic.

Public health now finds itself at a similar crossroads with respect to power. We have amassed substantial power through our efforts to address the COVID crisis. This has been something of a change for us. In the past, it was not uncommon to hear complaints that public health is sometimes neglected, that its recommendations to policymakers and the public can fall on deaf ears. The pandemic reversed this. Notwithstanding the polarization that has kept a vocal faction of the population at odds with the recommendations of health authorities, we are in a moment when public health is more influential than it has ever been. And with the arrival of vaccines and signs that the pandemic has started to wane, this moment may well be ending. COVID itself is likely to remain with us in some form, as an endemic threat. But the emergency of COVID, the crisis of the pandemic year—its days are numbered.


To End the Pandemic Faster, Don’t Give Up on State Mask Policies | Governing

Authored by Amy Lauren Fairchild, Cheryl Healton, Sandro Galea, David Holtgrave And James W. Curran.

Pandemics demand responsible public health policy. Even as we — hopefully — see the end of the COVID-19 pandemic in sight, the pathway that Texas and some other states have laid out as we enter the endgame stage of the pandemic puts us on a dangerous path to resurgence.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has confirmed an association between lifting mask requirements — including reopening restaurants for indoor dining, which is a type of mask requirement relaxation — with an increase in both coronavirus cases and deaths.

Yet Texas planned to lift its mask mandates and allow a full return to business as usual as of yesterday. In announcing the move, Gov. Greg Abbott urged individual responsibility and adherence to medical advice, but a mask is now optional rather than an urgently needed mandate to save lives. Mississippi followed in short order, and other states plan to follow suit, including Alabama on April 9.

Next time, Testing First | The Turning Point

Biomedical science had an astounding, unprecedented year. Two vaccines were developed for a new coronavirus in under 12 months. An entirely new mRNA technology proved sound. Clinicals trials of several therapeutics completed trials and were approved for use with patients. Less impressively, the centerpiece of coronavirus disease control, Covid-19 testing that can be available where people work and live and go to school, an at-home test with no delay in results, became available only in the final weeks of 2020. That it arrived so late in the year, after the US had experienced a per capita rate of testing far lower than most other high-income countries, has been one of the great public health disappointments of the pandemic.

Also lacking a rapid home test, other countries were able to make better use of the medically-supervised, slower, “gold standard” Covid-19 tests than the US. Asian countries had testing machines spread across their nations, and systems to evaluate which locations had excess capacity. With their smaller numbers of infections, contact tracing, isolation, and quarantine were successful for disease control, and were culturally acceptable.

Reason + health | The Healthiest Goldfish

When the Black Death struck Europe, it turned society upside down. The scale of the mortality—possibly up to a quarter of the population died from the plague—transformed economic systems, inflected religious thought, upended old institutions, and created space for new ones to emerge. It struck at the heart of the feudal system, which had long been the defining economic feature of the Middle Ages. For the first time, peasants no longer had to accept the terms dictated to them by the lords for whom they labored. With the population decimated, there were fewer people to work; those who remained were able to use their new leverage to demand better pay and conditions. Meanwhile, with the established authorities powerless to stop the spread of the disease, people began to imagine new approaches to scientific, political, and spiritual questions, paving the way for the currents of thought which would inform the Renaissance, a period which would, in turn, provide much of the intellectual grounding for the Age of Enlightenment.

It is significant that a pandemic would play a role in birthing these intellectual movements. The philosophies which emerged and were refined after the Middle Ages provided many of the values we now use to support health, and which have helped us to address the current pandemic, COVID-19. Centrally, these values are reason, the scientific method, and the pursuit of progress as a common goal worth striving toward. It was during the Enlightenment that our means of understanding the world shifted towards the collection of empirical data, and away from uncritical acceptance of revealed truths or articles of faith. This still serves as the template for scientific inquiry, shaping everything from our understanding of the socioeconomic determinants of health, to the research which has delivered a COVID vaccine.

From Theory to Practice | The Turning Point

We enter 2021 buoyed by the end of the Covid-19 pandemic in sight. The reason for the optimism: vaccines. In a remarkable feat of twenty-first century medical achievement, effective vaccines for Covid-19 were developed around the world in 9 months, substantially faster than we had ever developed a vaccine; the previous record for vaccine development was for mumps—and that took three years. Signals from vaccine makers—both those using the novel mRNA technology, and those using more traditional adenovirus technology—had us anticipating the end of the Covid-19 pandemic as soon as the vaccines were available.

After a year that upended our entire economy, our collective incentives were aligned to vaccinate as many as possible, as quickly as possible. We knew the vaccine was coming months in advance and several professional organizations proposed guidelines for vaccine prioritization. The President set a target of 20 million people vaccinated by the end of 2020.

Science and Society Are Failing Children in the COVID Era | Scientific American

Authored by Nason Maani and Sandro Galea.

The long-anticipated CDC guidance on schools was released on February 12. This is the latest event in what has been, up to this point, among the most politically charged and scientifically contested aspects of the COVID-19 response. In its guidance, the agency calls for K–12 schools in particular to reopen as soon as possible, noting that with safety precautions in place such as physical distancing, contact tracing and mask-wearing, many have been able to open safely, and stay open. The report also cites evidence, also referenced in a recent article in the Journal of the American Medical Association authored by CDC staff, that school attendance in this age range is not a primary driver of community transmission, and that declining infection rates are possible while keeping schools open.

However, the levels of community transmission used as benchmarks have drawn criticism, not least because they seem to not reflect the latest evidence on what is achievable with safeguards, and by implication suggest almost all schools in the U.S. should remain in remote or hybrid forms for the immediate future, in spite of the evidence.

The spherical cow problem | The Healthiest Goldfish

There is an old joke, variations of which have long circulated. It goes like this: there once was a farmer whose cows had stopped producing milk. The farmer tried everything but could not manage to solve the problem. She tried altering the cows’ diet, she tried putting them in a new pasture, she tried enlisting the help of the local vet—all with no success. Finally, she took one of the cows to a world-renowned university located in her state. The university was home to some of the brightest contemporary minds; surely, they could help fix her malfunctioning livestock? The professors were indeed willing to help, leaping at the chance to tackle a difficult challenge. They agreed to examine the cows and apply their know-how to finding a way to return the herd to milk production. They spent weeks on the problem, making calculations, running various milk-production models, and consulting with researchers at other universities. When they had finished, the farmer returned to hear what they had come up with. Had they solved the problem? “Yes,” said the lead researcher. “We have found a surefire way to increase milk production. First let us assume we have spherical cows in a vacuum.”